Tools

The tools we run the book with

The monitoring, the regime classification and the live data pipeline behind them are proprietary and built in house. Three of the tools are open to you. Drive them yourself.

Market environment
Alpha Opportunity
VIX
19.09
Environment
Elevated
Updated
8:13 AM PT

Market conditions

Market Weather System

The Market Weather System functions as a market GPS. It helps portfolio managers and investors get a fix on where the market is and what the conditions are, as a jumping-off point for decisions about where we go next. It is not meant to predict; it tells you exactly where you are right now: regime, environment, breadth, risk appetite and threat level in one panel, refreshed every 60 seconds.

Daily weather · liveAs of 8:13 AM PT, 23 Oct 2026

Today’s regime

AO

Alpha Opportunity

SPY −0.24%

Environment

Elevated

VIX 19.1

Breadth

BROAD SELLOFF

Average stock hit harder than index.

SPY −0.24% RSP −0.59%

Selling widespread -- correlation rising.

PB density (20D)

15%
0%Avg 28%100%

Risk appetite

BROAD STRESS

Everything selling — liquidity withdrawal

IWM −0.49 HYG −0.17 TLT −0.32

Indiscriminate selling — pure beta conditions likely

Sectors

  • Energy+2.8
  • Tech+0.7
  • RE+0.3
  • Matls−0.5
  • Utils−0.8
  • Comm−0.9
  • Health−0.9
  • Fins−1.0
  • Discr−1.2
  • Indust−1.2
  • Staples−1.5

Updates every 60s during market hours

weather-system →
Alpha Opportunity probability
73%at the 22 Oct 2026 close
Storm Center
Live on FlightDeck

For educational and informational purposes only. This tool is not a stock-picking device or trading signal and cannot by itself determine which securities to buy or sell, or when. Its readings have limitations, and using them in your own decisions is difficult. See Disclosures.

Behind the panel

Behind it sits the Storm Center, which identifies what kind of market stress is most likely under way by matching recent trading days against 26 years of history. Its storm level is on the live Weather System.

Selection analysis

Alpha Decomposition

A full regime decomposition for almost any U.S.-listed ticker, and how a name scores for alpha potential. Grade almost any U.S.-listed ticker, or a portfolio of them, on the days that count: how it behaved on Alpha Opportunity days, when selection is measurable, and on Pure Beta days, when the market decides. This is where the alpha lives. U.S.-listed tickers only; we do not handle foreign tickers, including OTC ADRs.

For educational and informational purposes only. This tool is not a stock-picking device or trading signal and cannot by itself determine which securities to buy or sell, or when. Its readings have limitations, and using them in your own decisions is difficult. See Disclosures.

Sector leadership

Sector Rotation

A relative rotation view of the eleven sectors against RSP, the average stock, which is how we measure selection: which are leading, weakening, lagging and improving, and what that means for stock-picking conditions.

Week ending 12 Oct 2026
LEADINGWEAKENINGLAGGINGIMPROVINGRELATIVE STRENGTH →MOMENTUM →Health care (XLV): Weakening, dispersion 35.4 ppt.35HealthEnergy (XLE): Weakening, dispersion 17.2 ppt.17EnergyTechnology (XLK): Lagging, dispersion 14.5 ppt.14TechCommunications (XLC): Lagging, dispersion 10.5 ppt.10CommConsumer discretionary (XLY): Lagging, dispersion 10.2 ppt.10DiscrConsumer staples (XLP): Weakening, dispersion 8.9 ppt.9StaplesMaterials (XLB): Weakening, dispersion 8.8 ppt.9MatlsIndustrials (XLI): Lagging, dispersion 8.1 ppt.8IndustFinancials (XLF): Lagging, dispersion 7.9 ppt.8FinsReal estate (XLRE): Lagging, dispersion 7.0 ppt.7REUtilities (XLU): Weakening, dispersion 6.1 ppt.6Utils
Against RSP: the average stock, how we measure selection. The number in each bubble is the sector’s dispersion over ten weeks, in percentage points.

What it is saying now

vs RSP
Cyclicals behind with defensive strength fading; churn without leadership.
Breadth
Defensive tone in cap-weight only; the average stock holds neutral.
Alpha
NORMAL. Median dispersion 8.9%, widest Health/Energy, tightest RE/Utils. Selection and the sector call carry similar weight.

Reading the graph

The bubble is where a sector trades now; the chevrons trail from where it closed last week and point the way to now. A sector outperforming RSP edges up and to the right, and the bubbles are redrawn from FlightDeck’s live feed, at most a minute old, each time this page loads during market hours.

last week’s closenow

  • Leadingstrong and rising
  • Weakeningstrong but cooling
  • Laggingweak and falling
  • Improvingweak but rising
LEADINGWEAKENINGLAGGINGIMPROVINGRELATIVE STRENGTH →MOMENTUM →Health care (XLV): Leading, dispersion 35.4 ppt.35HealthEnergy (XLE): Leading, dispersion 17.2 ppt.17EnergyTechnology (XLK): Improving, dispersion 14.5 ppt.14TechCommunications (XLC): Lagging, dispersion 10.5 ppt.10CommConsumer discretionary (XLY): Leading, dispersion 10.2 ppt.10DiscrConsumer staples (XLP): Leading, dispersion 8.9 ppt.9StaplesMaterials (XLB): Leading, dispersion 8.8 ppt.9MatlsIndustrials (XLI): Lagging, dispersion 8.1 ppt.8IndustFinancials (XLF): Leading, dispersion 7.9 ppt.8FinsReal estate (XLRE): Leading, dispersion 7.0 ppt.7REUtilities (XLU): Leading, dispersion 6.1 ppt.6Utils
Against SPY: the cap-weight index, distorted by a few mega-caps. The number in each bubble is the sector’s dispersion over ten weeks, in percentage points.

What it is saying now

vs SPY
Defensive rotation entrenched: relative strength sitting in safety. Cautionary, though Fins dissents.
Breadth
Defensive tone in cap-weight only; the average stock holds neutral.
Alpha
NORMAL. Median dispersion 8.9%, widest Health/Energy, tightest RE/Utils. Selection and the sector call carry similar weight.

Reading the graph

The bubble is where a sector trades now; the chevrons trail from where it closed last week and point the way to now. A sector outperforming SPY edges up and to the right, and the bubbles are redrawn from FlightDeck’s live feed, at most a minute old, each time this page loads during market hours.

last week’s closenow

  • Leadingstrong and rising
  • Weakeningstrong but cooling
  • Laggingweak and falling
  • Improvingweak but rising

For educational and informational purposes only. This tool is not a stock-picking device or trading signal and cannot by itself determine which securities to buy or sell, or when. Its readings have limitations, and using them in your own decisions is difficult. See Disclosures.

Weekly relative strength, normalized over the last ten weeks, from FlightDeck’s sector-rotation feed. The bubble sits where FlightDeck’s own map puts it: the feed’s latest reading moved by the sector’s live change against the benchmark, by FlightDeck’s own rule. “What it is saying now” is FlightDeck’s own read, made by its rules from the same feeds. Bubble size is the dispersion of each sector’s S&P 500 names over ten weeks: a read on how much room there is to pick, not a buy signal.

On the backstage tour

What the tour shows that this site does not

The three tools above are open to anyone. What the tour shows, and this site does not, is a custom-designed cockpit that helps portfolio managers understand whether we are performing within expectation or need to take action. During the tour, we will show and explain all the aspects of our command center and how we use different tools to monitor risk and performance, running live, including:

  • The command center, the live operations view the team runs the book from.
  • The daily market summary
  • Telemetry readings
  • Scenario Replay

Backstage tour

See it running live

A live screen-share of FlightDeck with Mark Tennenbaum, CIO: the command center driven in real time, how today’s market is classified and what the book does about it, and the record with the tests behind it.